The chase for the playoffs

By
Updated: April 16, 2013


Here are the final seven games for the Sabres, Islanders, Rangers and Jets:

Buffalo Sabres
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
Winnipeg Jets
44 points
51 points
48 points
48 points
Apr. 13thW 1-0Apr. 13thL 1-0 (OT)Apr. 16thL 4-2Apr. 11thW 7-2
Apr. 14th W 3-1Apr. 16thW 5-2Apr. 18thW 6-1Apr. 16thW 4-3
Apr. 17thW 3-2Apr. 18thW 5-3Apr. 19thAwayApr. 18thW 4-3
Apr. 19thHomeApr. 20thAwayApr. 21stHomeApr. 20thHome
Apr. 22ndHomeApr. 23rdAwayApr. 23rdAwayApr. 22ndAway
Apr. 23rdAwayApr. 25thAwayApr. 25thAwayApr. 23rdAway
Apr. 26thHomeApr. 26thAwayApr. 27thHomeApr. 25thHome

Overview:

Time is running out. A regulation loss will officially end any hope for a playoff spot. The odds are almost as slim as they can be. The Sabres playoff chances could very well come to an end over the weekend.

Sabres possible targets:

islandersIslanders Even though the Isles have 51 points and the Sabres can max out at 52, it’s still Buffalo’s best chance, simply because of their remaining schedule, which you can see above. If the Isles drop the next three in regulation and the Sabres win the next three, Buffalo could control its own destiny by having the final game of the season against the Islanders.

rangersRangers– At 48 points and a game in hand over Buffalo, the Rangers are getting farther out of reach. Also, all of their games are against the bottom five teams in the Conference, and then one against Buffalo. Unless they completely collapse, the Sabres may have to look to pass other teams.

jetsJets– The Jets move to 48 points with four games remaining. The Sabres are four points behind them and could pass them, but need a lot of help. The Sabres need the Jets to go 1-3,but Buffalo also needs to jump over two teams, not just one.

The percentages:

Screen Shot 2013-04-18 at 11.40.54 PMAt this point, a regulation loss will officially eliminate Buffalo from the playoffs. Realistically, the Sabres need to win out for just a small chance. 

If the Sabres were to win all four gams, here’s what they would need to happen:

Rangers go 2-2-1 or Islanders go 1-3 + Jets go 1-3 + Devils go 4-1 or worse.

If those teams have those records or worse, and the Sabres can get all 10 points, Buffalo would sneak into the 8th spot.

The verdict: 

First and foremost, the Sabres have to win the remaining four games. Then, hope for an Islanders or Rangers collapse, while passing Winnipeg along the way.

Rank
Team
Div
GR
REC
PTS
YATL036-12-072
XNE029-14-563
XSE027-18-357
XNE028-14-662
XNE026-17-557
XATL026-18-456
XNE025-17-656
XATL024-17-755
-------------------------------------------------------------------
ESE024-21-351
EATL023-22-349
EATL019-19-1048
ENE021-21-648
ESE019-25-442
ESE018-26-440
ESE015-27-636

11 Comments

  1. Shawn Baker via Facebook

    April 18, 2013 at 1:18 AM

    Yeah that’s why I said with a lot of luck haha :) still never know.

  2. via Facebook

    April 18, 2013 at 1:03 AM

    Sabres can only pass Ottawa if Sens lose out and Sabres win out. Highly unlikely.

  3. Shawn Baker via Facebook

    April 18, 2013 at 1:01 AM

    Can’t we still pass Ottawa? Unless the games match up a way I’m not seeing we can still with a lot of luck… pass them. 23 percent is better then 0! I still believe and never lost faith in the sabres this year. Great report as always

  4. Bradley Brown via Facebook

    April 17, 2013 at 11:27 PM

    means Friday’s and Monday’s games are all that more important

  5. Marc Barone via Facebook

    April 17, 2013 at 11:24 PM

    Need NY and WPG to start losing

  6. Marc Barone via Facebook

    April 17, 2013 at 11:24 PM

    Only a 23 percent chance if we do win the rest of our games…

  7. Steve Chettleburgh via Facebook

    April 17, 2013 at 9:33 AM

    Yeah if enroths between the pipes , mark my words if millers in we lose in boston

  8. Stan Campbell via Facebook

    April 17, 2013 at 8:20 AM

    Not at all. Lets go Sabres.

  9. Marc Barone via Facebook

    April 16, 2013 at 10:56 PM

    Doesn’t help that the jets just won :(

  10. Anonymous

    April 16, 2013 at 11:50 AM

    Great info, and good work with all the numbers. Hopefully one of these yeras e can have a “Playoff Primer” post for the Sabres and not just a push for the playoffs type post.

  11. Eric Ando via Facebook

    March 29, 2012 at 11:40 AM

    Thanks a lot for putting that together. I have it bookmarked.

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